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500 bets
Saturday, December 13th, 2008 04:00


From this point i will try to prove just if i am a worthy tipster or not , i won't kill myself writing analysis for competition , just the picks and the stakes. After 500 bets i will draw the line and see if i am a capable tipster.

Also after every 50 bets i will make a post on how my record looks.






Pick #1 Romania - Croatia
Saturday, December 13th, 2008 05:30
Handball - International
Pick:  Romania ( -2.5 goals )   Result: Pending
Stake:  8/10   Odds:  1.98
Bookmaker:  Pinnacle   vCash: No
Posted: Dec 13, 2008, 04:09











Romania - Spain    -10
Tuesday, December 09th, 2008 13:00
Handball - International
Discuss in forum (1 entries)
Pick:  Handicap (-3.5) 1   Result: Not registered
Stake:  10/10   Odds:  1.70
Bookmaker:  Expekt   vCash: Yes  
Posted: Dec 09, 2008, 05:26




After coming back incredible against Denmark after they were down even by 4-5 goals Romania looks to be certain of a semifinal spot if they win this match today.

And against weak spain that's what they should do.

Lecusanu will be back for today's match , she played the second half against Denmark also.

Second GK for Romania is out with an injury , but still GK never was a problem for Romania , as long as Hutupan is in the starting line-up.

Spain main forces are their GK ( also romanian native ) and the two inters who have a big pennetration force.

The spread is smaller than in local bookies , which have already got this match up to 4.5 goals, but as i expect another blowout game from Romania , I see them winning by more than 5.






Chelsea - Cluj    -10
Tuesday, December 09th, 2008 14:45
Soccer - Champions L
Discuss in forum (4 entries)
Pick:  Handicap (0:2) 1   Result: Not registered
Stake:  10/10   Odds:  2.65
Bookmaker:  Nordicbet   vCash: Yes  
Posted: Dec 09, 2008, 05:21




To be sure they will qualify from the group Chelsea now needs a win against last place CFR.

CFR has no chance to continue even in UEFA Cup , and as in Romania the championship has taken it's winter pause , all the players are thinking more about Christmas than Chelsea.

Chelsea has 2 classes above CFR , in the first match they played with their 2nd team and didn't manage to win at Cluj , but as Scolari said , he will travel back to Brasil if they won't win this match .

Of course it was a joke but he should really do that as Chelsea has all the reasons to beat Cluj , and CFR is an open-minded team , focused on attack as well and i believe Chelsea will manage to demolish them by at least 3 goals difference..

For me this is an easy bet to take so , Chelsea very big stakes






Denmark - Romania    -5
Sunday, December 07th, 2008 13:15
Handball - International
Discuss in forum (1 entries)
Pick:  Denmark 1X2   Result: 25-27
Stake:  5/10   Odds:  4.00
Bookmaker:  Betsson SB   vCash: Yes  
Posted: Dec 07, 2008, 07:33




Hmm...big mistake from the bookies in this match..

Ok , Romania has had a good start.That happens in almost every major tournament , but when they meet a good team they tend to mess it up.
And that's what i expect here again.

I really don't see this match as a 75-25 for romania , but more as a 50-50 , and if the tournament would have just started probably the bookies would have given the same chances.

Romania has had a good colective defense until now , the offense still needs improving ,even though they scored over 25 in both games.

Denmark already lost a point to Hungary , and believing that Hungary will advance , they will need the win here so they would advance with 3 points instead of 1 to the 2nd round Groupings.

Also another important news is that Lecusanu has injured herself in the morning training and there are big chances she won't be able to play today.

All in all the odds are way to big not to try a small stake on this match.






France - Hungary    +6
Sunday, December 07th, 2008 12:15
Handball - International
Discuss in forum (1 entries)
Pick:  Hungary 1X2   Result: 26-29
Stake:  10/10   Odds:  1.60
Bookmaker:  Expekt   vCash: Yes  
Posted: Dec 07, 2008, 07:28




That's what i expect after today's game.France has 2 losses and will definetely need a win in today's match to qualify.In case of a draw or a loss Hungary is the team to advance with Denmark and Romania.

Hungary has had a slow start in the match against Romania , but only the good play of Romania's defence managed to keep them away when they were a step away to equalise in the middle of the second half.
With players like Gorbicz and Palinger in a good day Hungary shouldn't have many trouble disposing of a younger inexperienced France team which will probably get anxious in the second half if the score isn't going their way.

I see experience and value over young talent in this match so i'll go maximum stakes again.






Romania - France    +8.5
Friday, December 05th, 2008 11:15
Handball - International
Discuss in forum (1 entries)
Pick:  Handicap (-2.5) 1   Result: 30-25
Stake:  10/10   Odds:  1.85
Bookmaker:  Nordicbet   vCash: Yes  
Posted: Dec 05, 2008, 07:03




Back after the blowout distruction of Sweden yesterday i have to say that it was even easier that i expected.

But let's keep focus on today's bet of Romania vs France.

Again i must say that Romania's play against Hungary totally surprised me , I won't say like others that they had an amazing day , played great or stuff like that because they didn't.
They were lucky that Hutupan was in one of her best days saving over 50% of Hungary's shots , so that's a big plus , the defense i can say worked preety good.
But on the offensive end , they still had a lot of problems.They started the match very bad and after 20-25 minutes they had a big number of turnovers, something like 9 turnovers when Hungary had only 2.
I suppose things like that are normal for a team that hasn't played together a lot , so i expect Romania's game to get better from that.
France also managed a good performance against Denmark but should be glad IMO that they lost by only one goal.
France has a young squad of 22-24 year old players so the same problems the Romania has about inconsistancy but all in all i see Romania dominating the game from the defensive point of view , and the spread isn't as big as expected , so i'll take it maximum stakes again.

Also keep watch as their will be some nba picks for tonight ;)






Austria - Sweden    +9.5
Thursday, December 04th, 2008 11:15
Handball - International
Discuss in forum (1 entries)
Pick:  Handicap (4.5) 2   Result: 10-24
Stake:  10/10   Odds:  1.95
Bookmaker:  Nordicbet   vCash: Yes  
Posted: Dec 04, 2008, 08:11




After a good start in their debut match against Belarus , something happened to the Swedes that kept them from winning a match that was theirs to take.The Belarus team was clearly one class below them , and more than probable the Austrian team is at well.
Sweden started the match very good leading at HT with 13-7 , and everything seemed to go their way.Probably the relaxation factor came and the Belarus team profited from that and made a great comeback
In the other match of the group , Austria , was well behind Russia when the match ended , loosing 31-22 what seemed to be a big demolition after HT.
Speaking of HT , the match was still anyone's game there as Russia only led by 3 , 13-10.

I expect that Sweden won't made the same mistakes today as a win in this match will guarantee them a safe pass to the next round , but a loss today will certainly say that they are out of the competition after their last match with Russia.

Austria doesn't have the necesarry power in their players to challenge a motivated Sweden , who can easily beat the spread set for today's game , maybe even before HT.

I see a one sided match , with only one team beeing a possible winner so i'll go maximum stakes on this one .






Dallas vs. Boston    -6
Friday, March 16th, 2007 19:30
US Sports - NBA
Pick:  Dallas -7.5 at HT   Result: Not registered
Stake:  6/10   Odds:  1.93
Bookmaker:  Pinnacle   vCash: Yes  
Posted: Mar 16, 2007, 12:52




Pinnacle offers us another good handicap for tonight's NBA games.
Dallas will have to get back on track tonight as they come after 2 consecutive defeats.I don't think that the winner of tonight's match is a problem because it's clear that Dallas will win but the way that they will win is important for their morale.
Boston won only 19 out of the 64 matches played this year while Dallas won 52 out of 63.
Last years results at HT :
Dallas - Boston 52-47
Dallas - Boston 73-49
Dallas - Boston 59-46
Dallas - Boston 60-41

As you can see dallas won 3 out of last 4 h2h games at dallas at more than 8 points and last year they were a 3 pointer away.
Now Dallas has to win by a big margin to get morale back up.

Injured/Questionable players :
Dallas :
D. George
D. Harris
D. Mbenga

Boston :
T. Allen
R. Gomes
T. Ratliff
W. Szczerbiak
Medium stakes.






Toronto Raptors - Houston Rockets    -10
Friday, March 16th, 2007 18:00
US Sports - NBA
Pick:  Under 194.5   Result: Not registered
Stake:  10/10   Odds:  1.95
Bookmaker:  Pinnacle   vCash: Yes  
Posted: Mar 16, 2007, 11:52




This will be a match that Houston will fight for like no other.They have lost last 3 direct matches and this can be their 2nd year when they don't win against Toronto.
Toronto comes today with the morale advantage of winning 4 consecutive picks.If they want to maintain that streak they need to defend better than usual because it's hard to win against Houston if you don't do a good D.
If we take a look at last results the line doesn't represent very much value with the scores beeing a total of 196 , 204 and 175.
But that was when Yao Ming wasn't on the court.With Yao on the court Bosh won't have such an easy night.
J. Calderon and A. Parker aren't 100% fit for tonight's game and this guys usually bring the team about 20-21 points per game and with them not at full potential and Yao on the defense the guys should miss 2-3 more shots than usual.
So i believe that Yao can stop Toronto's winning streak or at least give them a hard night.Should be a tight game and no team should reach 100 points so Under 194.5 is best pick for this game.






Kuznetsova - Bammer    -10
Friday, March 16th, 2007 16:00
Tennis - WTA
Pick:  Bammer +4.5 games   Result: Not registered
Stake:  10/10   Odds:  1.80
Bookmaker:  Gamebookers   vCash: Yes  
Posted: Mar 16, 2007, 09:34




Kuznetsova has the edge of the head to head meetings leading 1-0 from last year's Berlin Open win 6-2 6-4 on clay.
But there should be something else today.
First of all Bammer plays better on Hard courts than on Clay .
She also plays better this year than last year and Kuznetsova played 3 sets yesterday so she should be a little tired .
I watched both of the players matches in the quarter finals and Bammer played extremely good except the first games in the 2nd set when she was a little relaxed after winning the first one.
Kuznetsova had to come back from a set down to win the match and she shown some great tennis in the 3rd set to win it.But the first 2 sets Vaidisova was better IMO.
I see a match where Bammer takes one of the sets to a tiebreak so it will be very hard for Kuznetsova to win at more than 5 games.

GooD LucK !






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About me

Name:  Cristina Dobritescu
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Betting:  Part-time
 
Statistics
 
Picks: 103 
Won: 44 
Win rate: 43% 
Stake avg.: 8.9 
Odd avg.: 3.11 
Staked: 920.00 
Returned: 999.72 
Net balance: +79.72 
ROI*: 109% 
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vCash (0/0): + $0.00 

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